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Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2%
Chance
Yes
2.1¢
No
98.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$63.4M
Vol
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
16%
Yes
15.5¢
No
84.5¢
September 30
9%
Yes
8.5¢
No
91.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$47.5M
Vol
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
December 31
7%
Yes
6.5¢
No
93.5¢
June 30
4%
Yes
4.0¢
No
96.0¢
Jan 7, 2026
End
•
$30.1M
Vol
What will happen before GTA VI?
GPT-6 released
53%
Yes
53.0¢
No
47.0¢
New Playboi Carti Album
53%
Yes
52.5¢
No
47.5¢
Jul 31, 2026
End
•
$22.5M
Vol
GTA VI released before June 2026?
0%
Chance
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$15.2M
Vol
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3%
Chance
Yes
3.3¢
No
96.8¢
$12.4M
Vol
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
57%
Yes
57.5¢
No
42.5¢
Avengers: Doomsday
17%
Yes
16.5¢
No
83.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$9.7M
Vol
Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?
800-839
52%
Yes
52.3¢
No
47.8¢
840-879
48%
Yes
47.6¢
No
52.4¢
Jun 1, 2026
End
•
$5.8M
Vol
Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?
140-159
42%
Yes
41.9¢
No
58.1¢
120-139
36%
Yes
36.0¢
No
63.9¢
Jun 2, 2026
End
•
$4.4M
Vol
Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen
87%
Yes
86.5¢
No
13.5¢
Callum Turner
5%
Yes
5.4¢
No
94.6¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$3M
Vol
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
2
60%
Yes
59.5¢
No
40.5¢
1
32%
Yes
31.5¢
No
68.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$2.9M
Vol
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
89%
Chance
Yes
88.5¢
No
11.5¢
Jul 19, 2026
End
•
$2.7M
Vol
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
34%
Chance
Yes
34.0¢
No
66.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$2M
Vol
Human moon landing in 2026?
3%
Chance
Yes
3.1¢
No
96.9¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$1.9M
Vol
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
3.3¢
No
96.7¢
June 30
1%
Yes
1.1¢
No
98.9¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$1.9M
Vol
Will Trump dance on...?
2%
Chance
Yes
1.9¢
No
98.1¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$1.9M
Vol
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
8+
76%
Yes
75.6¢
No
24.3¢
7
24%
Yes
24.3¢
No
75.6¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$1.9M
Vol
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
15%
Chance
Yes
15.3¢
No
84.7¢
$1.6M
Vol
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Yes
72.5¢
No
27.5¢
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
18%
Yes
17.5¢
No
82.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$1.6M
Vol
Elon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026?
140-159
22%
Yes
21.6¢
No
78.5¢
120-139
18%
Yes
17.9¢
No
82.0¢
Jun 5, 2026
End
•
$1.5M
Vol
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny
65%
Yes
64.5¢
No
35.5¢
Drake
23%
Yes
23.4¢
No
76.6¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$1.3M
Vol
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
May 28
100%
Yes
100.0¢
No
0.1¢
May 31
73%
Yes
73.0¢
No
27.0¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$1.2M
Vol
Harvey Weinstein prison time?
No Prison Time
76%
Yes
76.4¢
No
23.5¢
20-30 years
8%
Yes
8.3¢
No
91.8¢
Dec 31, 2025
End
•
$1.1M
Vol
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
18%
Chance
Yes
17.5¢
No
82.5¢
$991K
Vol
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
8%
Chance
Yes
7.8¢
No
92.2¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$812K
Vol
Was 罗永浩 hacked?
1%
Chance
Yes
1.1¢
No
98.9¢
$799K
Vol
Weed rescheduled by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
27.7¢
No
72.3¢
June 30
3%
Yes
2.9¢
No
97.2¢
Mar 31, 2026
End
•
$761K
Vol
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
2%
Chance
Yes
1.8¢
No
98.2¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$677K
Vol
"how to Make a Killing" Rotten Tomatoes score?
60+
0%
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
56+
0%
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
Feb 23, 2026
End
•
$646K
Vol
"backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office (Even Higher Strikes)
>79m
94%
Yes
94.3¢
No
5.8¢
73-79m
4%
Yes
3.9¢
No
96.1¢
Jun 1, 2026
End
•
$563K
Vol
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
1%
Chance
Yes
1.3¢
No
98.8¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$539K
Vol
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Hong Wang
77%
Yes
76.5¢
No
23.5¢
Jacob Tsimerman
71%
Yes
70.5¢
No
29.5¢
Jul 30, 2026
End
•
$529K
Vol
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
0%
Chance
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$481K
Vol
Who will die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Nate Jacobs
99%
Yes
99.4¢
No
0.7¢
Rue Bennett
60%
Yes
60.0¢
No
40.0¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$422K
Vol
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
18%
Chance
Yes
17.5¢
No
82.5¢
Nov 19, 2026
End
•
$380K
Vol
Elon Musk # tweets May 30 - June 1, 2026?
<40
72%
Yes
72.0¢
No
28.0¢
40-64
26%
Yes
25.5¢
No
74.5¢
Jun 1, 2026
End
•
$375K
Vol
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
0%
Chance
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$371K
Vol
SBF released from custody in 2026?
8%
Chance
Yes
8.0¢
No
92.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$359K
Vol
"the Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
>7m
94%
Yes
94.0¢
No
6.0¢
6-7m
6%
Yes
5.9¢
No
94.2¢
Jun 1, 2026
End
•
$323K
Vol
Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?
Marjorie Taylor Greene
86%
Yes
85.5¢
No
14.5¢
Tucker Carlson
81%
Yes
81.3¢
No
18.6¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$309K
Vol
Highest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
99%
Yes
99.4¢
No
0.7¢
Michael
0%
Yes
0.1¢
No
99.9¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$282K
Vol
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by...?
August 31
83%
Yes
83.0¢
No
17.0¢
June 30
17%
Yes
17.3¢
No
82.8¢
Dec 31, 2025
End
•
$252K
Vol
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
85%
27%
Yes
27.0¢
No
73.0¢
90%
11%
Yes
10.5¢
No
89.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$229K
Vol
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
2%
Chance
Yes
1.9¢
No
98.0¢
Aug 31, 2026
End
•
$221K
Vol
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
June 30
72%
Yes
71.5¢
No
28.5¢
June 15
57%
Yes
57.0¢
No
43.0¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$221K
Vol
"backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
>61m
100%
Yes
99.9¢
No
0.1¢
57-61m
0%
Yes
0.1¢
No
99.9¢
Jun 1, 2026
End
•
$220K
Vol
Elon Musk # tweets June 2 - June 9, 2026?
160-179
17%
Yes
17.0¢
No
83.0¢
180-199
16%
Yes
15.5¢
No
84.5¢
Jun 9, 2026
End
•
$210K
Vol
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
Olivia Rodrigo
99%
Yes
98.8¢
No
1.3¢
Travis Scott
75%
Yes
75.0¢
No
25.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$202K
Vol
Top Spotify artist in May?
Bruno Mars
100%
Yes
100.0¢
No
0.1¢
Kanye West
0%
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
—
End
•
$194K
Vol
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
97%
Chance
Yes
97.3¢
No
2.7¢
Jul 19, 2026
End
•
$182K
Vol
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
2%
Chance
Yes
1.9¢
No
98.1¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$181K
Vol
Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?
Bruno Mars
2%
Yes
1.8¢
No
98.2¢
Beyonce
2%
Yes
1.8¢
No
98.3¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$176K
Vol
Anthropic CEO arrested?
2%
Chance
Yes
1.5¢
No
98.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$169K
Vol
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
1%
Chance
Yes
0.5¢
No
99.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$156K
Vol
Will Elon Mention “ASTEROID” on X Before June?
Tweets
4%
Chance
Yes
3.5¢
No
96.5¢
$153K
Vol
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Mariah Carey
90%
Yes
89.5¢
No
10.5¢
Peso Pluma
65%
Yes
64.5¢
No
35.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$152K
Vol
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
10%
Chance
Yes
9.5¢
No
90.5¢
Feb 28, 2027
End
•
$140K
Vol
Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?
Twice
79%
Yes
79.2¢
No
20.8¢
Newjeans
60%
Yes
60.0¢
No
40.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$124K
Vol
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Science
6%
Chance
Yes
5.5¢
No
94.5¢
$123K
Vol
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?
1%
Chance
Yes
0.9¢
No
99.1¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$123K
Vol
Which artists will release a new song in 2026?
Lil Uzi Vert
96%
Yes
96.4¢
No
3.6¢
Taylor Swift
93%
Yes
93.0¢
No
7.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$120K
Vol
Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?
840-879
9%
Yes
8.6¢
No
91.3¢
960-999
8%
Yes
8.0¢
No
92.0¢
Aug 1, 2026
End
•
$118K
Vol
Will Trump sign an executive order on...?
May 24
26%
Yes
25.5¢
No
74.5¢
May 31
2%
Yes
1.6¢
No
98.5¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$117K
Vol
"backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office
>35m
100%
Yes
100.0¢
No
0.1¢
31-35m
0%
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
Jun 1, 2026
End
•
$100K
Vol
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
5%
Chance
Yes
5.0¢
No
95.0¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$90K
Vol
Elon Musk # tweets June 1 - June 3, 2026?
40-64
53%
Yes
52.5¢
No
47.5¢
<40
35%
Yes
34.5¢
No
65.5¢
Jun 3, 2026
End
•
$86K
Vol
"the Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<25m
91%
Yes
90.5¢
No
9.5¢
25-28m
8%
Yes
8.0¢
No
92.0¢
Jun 1, 2026
End
•
$74K
Vol
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
The Boroughs
91%
Yes
90.5¢
No
9.5¢
The Four Seasons: Season 2
9%
Yes
9.0¢
No
91.0¢
Jun 2, 2026
End
•
$62K
Vol
Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by June 30?
497m
99%
Yes
99.3¢
No
0.8¢
500m
95%
Yes
95.1¢
No
4.9¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$60K
Vol
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
3%
Chance
Yes
3.1¢
No
96.9¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$58K
Vol
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
86%
Chance
Yes
86.0¢
No
14.1¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$56K
Vol
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
45%
Chance
Yes
45.0¢
No
55.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$55K
Vol
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
June 30
68%
Yes
67.5¢
No
32.5¢
May 30
1%
Yes
1.4¢
No
98.7¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$50K
Vol
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?
1%
Chance
Yes
0.5¢
No
99.5¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$48K
Vol
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
60-70M
67%
Yes
66.5¢
No
33.5¢
50-60M
18%
Yes
18.0¢
No
82.0¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$46K
Vol
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
67%
Chance
Yes
66.5¢
No
33.5¢
Jun 19, 2026
End
•
$43K
Vol
Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop
85%
Yes
84.5¢
No
15.5¢
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine
82%
Yes
81.5¢
No
18.5¢
Dec 18, 2026
End
•
$42K
Vol
Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31?
690b+
100%
Yes
99.5¢
No
0.5¢
660-670b
0%
Yes
0.3¢
No
99.8¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$39K
Vol
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
4%
Chance
Yes
3.5¢
No
96.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$38K
Vol
Evo Morales arrested by...?
June 30
33%
Yes
32.5¢
No
67.5¢
May 31
4%
Yes
4.2¢
No
95.9¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$37K
Vol
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
12%
Chance
Yes
12.0¢
No
88.0¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$33K
Vol
"obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office
>19m
100%
Yes
100.0¢
No
0.1¢
16-17m
0%
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
Jun 1, 2026
End
•
$30K
Vol
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
2%
Chance
Yes
1.5¢
No
98.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$28K
Vol
Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?
Shakira
96%
Yes
96.1¢
No
3.9¢
Coldplay
38%
Yes
37.5¢
No
62.5¢
Jul 19, 2026
End
•
$27K
Vol
How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?
4+
70%
Yes
69.5¢
No
30.5¢
3
29%
Yes
29.0¢
No
71.0¢
Jul 31, 2026
End
•
$27K
Vol
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by...?
June 30
16%
Yes
15.5¢
No
84.5¢
May 31
0%
Yes
0.4¢
No
99.6¢
Jul 1, 2026
End
•
$24K
Vol
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
1%
Chance
Yes
0.5¢
No
99.5¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$24K
Vol
What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
The Boroughs
99%
Yes
99.3¢
No
0.8¢
The Four Seasons: Season 2
1%
Yes
0.7¢
No
99.4¢
Jun 2, 2026
End
•
$22K
Vol
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
7%
Chance
Yes
7.0¢
No
93.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$21K
Vol
Number of Elon Musk tweets May 25th - Jun 1st 2026
Tweets
1%
Chance
Yes
1.0¢
No
99.0¢
$21K
Vol
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?
0%
Chance
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$20K
Vol
Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?
Barack Obama
83%
Yes
82.5¢
No
17.5¢
Jerome Powell
56%
Yes
56.5¢
No
43.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$19K
Vol
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)
Budget
3%
Yes
2.5¢
No
97.5¢
Garden / Grove
2%
Yes
2.5¢
No
97.5¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$17K
Vol
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
The Four Seasons: Season 2
54%
Yes
53.5¢
No
46.5¢
The Boroughs
9%
Yes
9.0¢
No
91.0¢
Jun 2, 2026
End
•
$17K
Vol
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of June 6
Janice STFU - Drake
97%
Yes
97.2¢
No
2.8¢
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
1%
Yes
0.7¢
No
99.4¢
Jun 2, 2026
End
•
$17K
Vol
New Half-Life game by...?
26%
Chance
Yes
26.3¢
No
73.8¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$17K
Vol
#2 Spotify artist in May?
The Weeknd
0%
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
Billie Eilish
0%
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$15K
Vol
What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Nemesis
91%
Yes
90.8¢
No
9.2¢
The Four Seasons: Season 2
9%
Yes
9.0¢
No
91.0¢
Jun 2, 2026
End
•
$14K
Vol
Highest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?
The Devil Wears Prada 2
97%
Yes
96.8¢
No
3.2¢
The Mandalorian and Grogu
2%
Yes
1.8¢
No
98.2¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$13K
Vol
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
16%
Chance
Yes
16.0¢
No
84.0¢
Jul 31, 2027
End
•
$13K
Vol
Faze roster change Before GTA VI?
62%
Chance
Yes
62.0¢
No
38.0¢
—
End
•
$13K
Vol
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Rwanda
76%
Yes
75.5¢
No
24.5¢
South Sudan
74%
Yes
74.0¢
No
26.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$12K
Vol
Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
800b+
88%
Yes
88.0¢
No
12.0¢
740-760b
4%
Yes
4.0¢
No
96.0¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$12K
Vol
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
The Crash
100%
Yes
99.8¢
No
0.3¢
Remarkably Bright Creatures
0%
Yes
0.4¢
No
99.6¢
Jun 2, 2026
End
•
$9K
Vol
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
13%
Chance
Yes
13.0¢
No
87.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$8K
Vol
What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
GOAT
33%
Yes
32.7¢
No
67.3¢
The Theory of Everything
24%
Yes
24.2¢
No
75.8¢
Jun 2, 2026
End
•
$6K
Vol
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
The Crash
97%
Yes
97.2¢
No
2.9¢
Swapped
1%
Yes
1.5¢
No
98.6¢
Jun 2, 2026
End
•
$6K
Vol