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140
World
29
Iran
21
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20
Pre-Market
15
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12
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12
U.S. x Iran
12
Iran Ceasefire
10
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8
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8
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7
Tweet Markets
World Cup Winner
France
16%
Yes
16.0¢
No
84.0¢
Spain
16%
Yes
16.0¢
No
84.0¢
Jul 20, 2026
End
•
$1.6B
Vol
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
25%
Yes
25.1¢
No
74.9¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Yes
9.3¢
No
90.6¢
Nov 7, 2028
End
•
$1.2B
Vol
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
30%
Yes
30.1¢
No
69.8¢
Marco Rubio
26%
Yes
25.9¢
No
74.1¢
Nov 7, 2028
End
•
$650.9M
Vol
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
16%
Yes
15.9¢
No
84.1¢
Gavin Newsom
15%
Yes
15.2¢
No
84.9¢
Nov 7, 2028
End
•
$617.3M
Vol
2026 NBA Champion
New York Knicks
52%
Yes
52.4¢
No
47.5¢
San Antonio Spurs
48%
Yes
48.0¢
No
51.9¢
Jul 1, 2026
End
•
$411.3M
Vol
2026 World Cup Winner
Soccer • World Cup
Spain
16%
Yes
16.3¢
No
83.8¢
France
16%
Yes
15.8¢
No
84.2¢
$262.5M
Vol
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
72%
Yes
71.5¢
No
28.5¢
October 31
63%
Yes
62.5¢
No
37.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$257.8M
Vol
F1 Drivers' Champion
Kimi Antonelli
49%
Yes
49.1¢
No
50.9¢
George Russell
28%
Yes
28.5¢
No
71.5¢
Dec 6, 2026
End
•
$166.1M
Vol
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
42%
Yes
41.5¢
No
58.5¢
Flávio Bolsonaro
28%
Yes
28.2¢
No
71.8¢
Oct 4, 2026
End
•
$96.2M
Vol
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
26%
Yes
25.5¢
No
74.5¢
Édouard Philippe
17%
Yes
16.5¢
No
83.5¢
Apr 30, 2027
End
•
$92.2M
Vol
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
72%
Yes
71.5¢
No
28.5¢
Delcy Rodríguez
19%
Yes
19.0¢
No
81.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$90.1M
Vol
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Carolina Hurricanes
56%
Yes
55.5¢
No
44.5¢
Vegas Golden Knights
44%
Yes
44.4¢
No
55.6¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$81.7M
Vol
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori
62%
Yes
61.5¢
No
38.5¢
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
39%
Yes
38.8¢
No
61.3¢
Apr 12, 2026
End
•
$63.9M
Vol
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2%
Chance
Yes
2.1¢
No
98.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$63.5M
Vol
Fed Decision in June?
No change
99%
Yes
98.7¢
No
1.4¢
25 bps decrease
1%
Yes
0.7¢
No
99.4¢
Jun 17, 2026
End
•
$60.5M
Vol
Iran closes its airspace by...?
July 31
33%
Yes
32.5¢
No
67.5¢
July 15
31%
Yes
31.0¢
No
69.0¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$51.4M
Vol
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
5%
Chance
Yes
5.3¢
No
94.8¢
Mar 31, 2026
End
•
$50.3M
Vol
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
14%
Yes
14.5¢
No
85.5¢
September 30
8%
Yes
7.5¢
No
92.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$49.3M
Vol
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2%
Chance
Yes
1.8¢
No
98.3¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$48.6M
Vol
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 31
61%
Yes
60.5¢
No
39.5¢
June 30
42%
Yes
41.5¢
No
58.5¢
Apr 30, 2026
End
•
$43.6M
Vol
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↓ 55,000
78%
Yes
78.0¢
No
22.0¢
↓ 50,000
57%
Yes
57.5¢
No
42.5¢
Jan 1, 2027
End
•
$41.4M
Vol
2026 Men's French Open Winner
Alexander Zverev
77%
Yes
77.3¢
No
22.7¢
Flavio Cobolli
22%
Yes
22.3¢
No
77.8¢
Jun 7, 2026
End
•
$40.8M
Vol
Colombia Presidential Election
Abelardo de la Espriella
84%
Yes
83.5¢
No
16.5¢
Iván Cepeda Castro
18%
Yes
17.5¢
No
82.5¢
Jun 21, 2026
End
•
$36M
Vol
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra
71%
Yes
71.3¢
No
28.7¢
Tom Steyer
20%
Yes
19.8¢
No
80.3¢
Nov 3, 2026
End
•
$34M
Vol
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%
Chance
Yes
16.5¢
No
83.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$33.9M
Vol
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
71%
Yes
71.5¢
No
28.5¢
1 (25 bps)
11%
Yes
10.5¢
No
89.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$32.2M
Vol
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6%
Chance
Yes
6.3¢
No
93.8¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$32.1M
Vol
Starmer out by...?
December 31
74%
Yes
73.5¢
No
26.5¢
July 31
39%
Yes
38.5¢
No
61.5¢
Dec 31, 2025
End
•
$30.9M
Vol
NFL Champion 2027
Los Angeles Rams
16%
Yes
15.5¢
No
84.5¢
Seattle Seahawks
8%
Yes
7.5¢
No
92.5¢
Feb 14, 2027
End
•
$30.6M
Vol
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
December 31
7%
Yes
6.5¢
No
93.5¢
July 31
2%
Yes
1.5¢
No
98.5¢
Jan 7, 2026
End
•
$30.2M
Vol
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 31
64%
Yes
64.0¢
No
36.0¢
June 30
42%
Yes
41.5¢
No
58.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$29.1M
Vol
2026 Men's Australian Open Winner
0%
Chance
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
Feb 1, 2026
End
•
$28.2M
Vol
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers
30%
Yes
29.5¢
No
70.5¢
New York Yankees
13%
Yes
12.5¢
No
87.5¢
Oct 31, 2026
End
•
$27.8M
Vol
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
July 31
65%
Yes
64.5¢
No
35.5¢
June 30
46%
Yes
45.5¢
No
54.5¢
—
End
•
$25.5M
Vol
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
19%
Yes
19.0¢
No
81.0¢
June 30
3%
Yes
2.6¢
No
97.4¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$25.2M
Vol
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
By December 31, 2026
7%
Yes
6.5¢
No
93.5¢
By June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
0.4¢
No
99.7¢
Jan 1, 2027
End
•
$24.6M
Vol
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
↓ $85
56%
Yes
56.5¢
No
43.5¢
↓ $80
35%
Yes
34.5¢
No
65.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$23.3M
Vol
F1 Constructors' Champion
Mercedes
81%
Yes
80.5¢
No
19.5¢
Ferrari
8%
Yes
8.3¢
No
91.6¢
Dec 6, 2026
End
•
$22.7M
Vol
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Pre-Market
$500m
47%
Yes
47.1¢
No
52.8¢
$1b
25%
Yes
25.4¢
No
74.6¢
$20.9M
Vol
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
89%
Yes
88.5¢
No
11.5¢
Apple
7%
Yes
6.7¢
No
93.3¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$20.5M
Vol
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 31
11%
Yes
10.5¢
No
89.5¢
June 30
1%
Yes
1.4¢
No
98.7¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$20.2M
Vol
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
11%
Yes
10.6¢
No
89.4¢
UNRWA
9%
Yes
9.3¢
No
90.8¢
Oct 10, 2026
End
•
$19.5M
Vol
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
13%
Chance
Yes
12.5¢
No
87.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$19.3M
Vol
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Pre-Market
$700m
28%
Yes
28.0¢
No
72.0¢
$1b
17%
Yes
17.0¢
No
83.0¢
$18.9M
Vol
Iran leadership change by...?
December 31
25%
Yes
25.0¢
No
75.0¢
June 30
4%
Yes
4.0¢
No
96.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$16.5M
Vol
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
6%
Chance
Yes
6.0¢
No
94.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$14.4M
Vol
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
8%
Chance
Yes
7.5¢
No
92.5¢
Mar 31, 2026
End
•
$14.2M
Vol
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
18%
Chance
Yes
17.5¢
No
82.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$13.9M
Vol
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
41%
Yes
40.5¢
No
59.5¢
July 31
22%
Yes
22.0¢
No
78.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$13.9M
Vol
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
34%
Yes
34.0¢
No
66.0¢
Gadi Eizenkot
28%
Yes
28.4¢
No
71.6¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$13.8M
Vol
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
72%
Yes
72.2¢
No
27.8¢
Reza Pahlavi
6%
Yes
5.5¢
No
94.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$13.6M
Vol
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Pre-Market
December 31, 2026
31%
Yes
30.8¢
No
69.3¢
June 30, 2026
1%
Yes
1.1¢
No
99.0¢
$13.2M
Vol
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3%
Chance
Yes
3.3¢
No
96.8¢
$12.6M
Vol
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
83%
Yes
83.2¢
No
16.9¢
Google
14%
Yes
13.5¢
No
86.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$11.5M
Vol
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
6%
Chance
Yes
5.5¢
No
94.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$11.4M
Vol
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Pre-Market
$500m
66%
Yes
66.0¢
No
34.1¢
$800m
39%
Yes
38.9¢
No
61.1¢
$11.1M
Vol
IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner
Vitality
47%
Yes
46.5¢
No
53.5¢
Team Spirit
18%
Yes
17.5¢
No
82.5¢
Jun 21, 2026
End
•
$10.7M
Vol
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
56%
Yes
56.5¢
No
43.5¢
Avengers: Doomsday
18%
Yes
17.5¢
No
82.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$10.3M
Vol
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Abelardo de la Espriella
100%
Yes
99.8¢
No
0.3¢
Iván Cepeda Castro
0%
Yes
0.1¢
No
100.0¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$10.1M
Vol
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
54%
Yes
53.5¢
No
46.5¢
New People (NL)
36%
Yes
35.8¢
No
64.2¢
Sep 20, 2026
End
•
$10M
Vol
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1%
Chance
Yes
1.1¢
No
98.9¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$9.8M
Vol
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Andy Burnham
60%
Yes
59.7¢
No
40.4¢
No Next PM in 2026
25%
Yes
24.5¢
No
75.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$9.2M
Vol
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
44%
Yes
44.0¢
No
56.0¢
R Senate, D House
35%
Yes
34.9¢
No
65.1¢
$8.9M
Vol
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
3%
Chance
Yes
2.9¢
No
97.2¢
Dec 31, 2025
End
•
$8.5M
Vol
What price will Bitcoin hit in June?
↑ 65,000
59%
Yes
58.5¢
No
41.5¢
↓ 57,500
58%
Yes
58.0¢
No
42.0¢
Jul 1, 2026
End
•
$8.2M
Vol
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
No meeting by June 30
97%
Yes
96.7¢
No
3.4¢
Russia
1%
Yes
0.9¢
No
99.1¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$8.2M
Vol
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
No Meeting by June 30
59%
Yes
58.5¢
No
41.5¢
Pakistan
20%
Yes
20.2¢
No
79.8¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$8.1M
Vol
Fed Decision in July?
No change
94%
Yes
93.5¢
No
6.5¢
25 bps increase
5%
Yes
5.0¢
No
95.0¢
Jul 29, 2026
End
•
$7.9M
Vol
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass
66%
Yes
65.5¢
No
34.5¢
Nithya Raman
31%
Yes
31.1¢
No
68.8¢
Jun 2, 2026
End
•
$7.8M
Vol
Knicks vs. Spurs
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 2.5
97%
Yes
96.5¢
No
3.5¢
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5
96%
Yes
95.5¢
No
4.5¢
Jun 6, 2026
End
•
$7.2M
Vol
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
82%
Yes
81.5¢
No
18.5¢
Republican Party
20%
Yes
19.5¢
No
80.5¢
Nov 3, 2026
End
•
$7M
Vol
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
9%
Chance
Yes
8.5¢
No
91.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$6.9M
Vol
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
30%
Yes
29.5¢
No
70.5¢
June 30, 2026
1%
Yes
0.8¢
No
99.2¢
Jan 1, 2027
End
•
$6.9M
Vol
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
79%
Yes
79.0¢
No
21.0¢
September 30, 2026
63%
Yes
62.5¢
No
37.5¢
Dec 31, 2025
End
•
$6.4M
Vol
Spacex IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1t
99%
Yes
99.2¢
No
0.9¢
>$1.2t
97%
Yes
97.5¢
No
2.5¢
Dec 31, 2027
End
•
$6.1M
Vol
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↓ 1,500
91%
Yes
90.5¢
No
9.5¢
↓ 1,000
33%
Yes
32.5¢
No
67.5¢
Jan 1, 2027
End
•
$6.1M
Vol
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
Commodities
↑ $7,000
10%
Yes
9.6¢
No
90.5¢
↑ $9,000
2%
Yes
2.0¢
No
98.0¢
$6M
Vol
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
11%
Chance
Yes
10.5¢
No
89.5¢
Jan 31, 2026
End
•
$6M
Vol
US military action against Cuba by...?
46%
Chance
Yes
45.5¢
No
54.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$5.6M
Vol
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?
100%
Chance
Yes
99.9¢
No
0.1¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$5.5M
Vol
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
28%
Chance
Yes
28.5¢
No
71.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$5.5M
Vol
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Rates • Fed
49%
Chance
Yes
48.5¢
No
51.5¢
$5.4M
Vol
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Economy • Fed
6 (150 bps)
44%
Yes
43.8¢
No
56.2¢
2 (50 bps)
6%
Yes
5.9¢
No
94.2¢
$5.1M
Vol
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
5%
Chance
Yes
4.8¢
No
95.3¢
May 31, 2026
End
•
$5M
Vol
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
Pre-Market
December 31, 2026
52%
Yes
52.3¢
No
47.8¢
September 30, 2026
17%
Yes
17.1¢
No
83.0¢
$4.7M
Vol
Will Polymarket launch their official token by _?
Pre-Market
June 30, 2027
76%
Yes
75.8¢
No
24.1¢
March 31, 2027
66%
Yes
66.1¢
No
33.9¢
$4.4M
Vol
Epstein client list released by...?
4%
Chance
Yes
3.5¢
No
96.5¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$4.3M
Vol
What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?
New Polymarket chain
53%
Yes
53.1¢
No
46.9¢
No migration in 2026
32%
Yes
32.3¢
No
67.8¢
$4.2M
Vol
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
1%
Chance
Yes
0.8¢
No
99.3¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$4.1M
Vol
Claude 5 released by…?
September 30, 2026
62%
Yes
61.5¢
No
38.5¢
June 30, 2026
28%
Yes
28.5¢
No
71.5¢
Apr 30, 2026
End
•
$4.1M
Vol
Lol: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
50%
Chance
Yes
50.0¢
No
50.0¢
Jun 5, 2026
End
•
$4M
Vol
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
10%
Chance
Yes
10.0¢
No
90.0¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$4M
Vol
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
2%
Chance
Yes
2.3¢
No
97.7¢
Jun 15, 2026
End
•
$3.7M
Vol
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
Commodities
↑ $250
50%
Yes
49.5¢
No
50.4¢
↑ $230
48%
Yes
48.4¢
No
51.6¢
$3.7M
Vol
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Trump
5%
Chance
Yes
5.1¢
No
94.9¢
$3.6M
Vol
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
1%
Chance
Yes
1.1¢
No
99.0¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$3.3M
Vol
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
100%
Yes
100.0¢
No
0.1¢
O/u 17.5
100%
Yes
100.0¢
No
0.1¢
Jun 12, 2026
End
•
$3.2M
Vol
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
100%
Yes
100.0¢
No
0.1¢
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
100%
Yes
99.5¢
No
0.5¢
Jun 5, 2026
End
•
$3.1M
Vol
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
6%
Chance
Yes
6.4¢
No
93.6¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$3.1M
Vol
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
9%
Yes
9.0¢
No
91.0¢
June 30, 2026
2%
Yes
1.6¢
No
98.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$3M
Vol
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31
50%
Yes
50.0¢
No
50.0¢
October 31
30%
Yes
30.0¢
No
70.0¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$2.9M
Vol
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
17%
Chance
Yes
16.5¢
No
83.5¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$2.9M
Vol
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
35%
Chance
Yes
34.5¢
No
65.5¢
Jul 31, 2026
End
•
$2.8M
Vol
Pump.Fun airdrop by ....?
23%
Chance
Yes
22.5¢
No
77.5¢
Jan 1, 2027
End
•
$2.8M
Vol
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
89%
Chance
Yes
88.5¢
No
11.5¢
Jul 19, 2026
End
•
$2.7M
Vol
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
10%
Chance
Yes
9.5¢
No
90.5¢
Jan 31, 2026
End
•
$2.6M
Vol
2026 NBA Champion
NBA • Basketball
New York Knicks
52%
Yes
52.4¢
No
47.5¢
San Antonio Spurs
48%
Yes
48.3¢
No
51.8¢
$2.6M
Vol
F1 Drivers' Champion
F1
Max Verstappen
6%
Yes
6.0¢
No
94.0¢
Lewis Hamilton
3%
Yes
3.0¢
No
97.0¢
$2.5M
Vol
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
Before 2027
7%
Yes
7.0¢
No
93.0¢
June 30
1%
Yes
0.9¢
No
99.2¢
Jun 30, 2026
End
•
$2.5M
Vol
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
10%
Chance
Yes
9.5¢
No
90.5¢
Jan 31, 2026
End
•
$2.5M
Vol
Polymarket official token FDV above _ one day after launch?
Pre-Market
$2b
79%
Yes
79.4¢
No
20.6¢
$4b
74%
Yes
74.3¢
No
25.8¢
$2.5M
Vol
Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?
Las Vegas Raiders
75%
Yes
75.3¢
No
24.8¢
Detroit Lions
29%
Yes
29.3¢
No
70.7¢
Sep 1, 2026
End
•
$2.5M
Vol
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
50%
Chance
Over
50.0¢
Under
50.0¢
Jun 5, 2026
End
•
$2.4M
Vol
Makerfield by-election Winner
Andy Burnham
83%
Yes
82.5¢
No
17.5¢
Robert Kenyon
16%
Yes
15.5¢
No
84.5¢
Jun 18, 2026
End
•
$2.3M
Vol
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Kylian Mbappe
17%
Yes
16.5¢
No
83.5¢
Harry Kane
13%
Yes
12.5¢
No
87.5¢
Jul 20, 2026
End
•
$2.3M
Vol
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Pre-Market
$1b
21%
Yes
20.8¢
No
79.1¢
$3b
15%
Yes
15.2¢
No
84.8¢
$2.3M
Vol
Fed Decision in June?
Fed
No change
98%
Yes
98.3¢
No
1.8¢
25 bps decrease
1%
Yes
0.9¢
No
99.2¢
$2.2M
Vol
Will Kalshi launch a token by ___ ?
Pre-Market
December 31st, 2026
11%
Yes
11.2¢
No
88.8¢
September 30th, 2026
7%
Yes
7.1¢
No
92.8¢
$2M
Vol
Russian strike on Poland by...?
1%
Chance
Yes
1.2¢
No
98.8¢
Dec 31, 2025
End
•
$2M
Vol
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
Pre-Market
September 30, 2026?
10%
Yes
10.1¢
No
90.0¢
June 30, 2026
2%
Yes
1.8¢
No
98.2¢
$1.9M
Vol
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
3.2¢
No
96.8¢
June 30
1%
Yes
1.1¢
No
98.9¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$1.9M
Vol
Will Alberta join the US?
4%
Chance
Yes
4.3¢
No
95.7¢
Dec 31, 2026
End
•
$1.7M
Vol
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13%
Chance
Yes
13.2¢
No
86.9¢
$1.7M
Vol
MLB World Series Champion 2026
MLB • Baseball
Los Angeles Angels
100%
Yes
99.8¢
No
0.2¢
Miami Marlins
100%
Yes
99.8¢
No
0.2¢
$1.4M
Vol
Polymarket IPO by _?
IPO
June 30, 2027
25%
Yes
24.9¢
No
75.2¢
March 31, 2027
13%
Yes
12.8¢
No
87.3¢
$1.3M
Vol
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Pre-Market
$400m
38%
Yes
37.9¢
No
62.1¢
$1.5b
11%
Yes
10.7¢
No
89.3¢
$1.2M
Vol
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
24%
Chance
Yes
23.5¢
No
76.5¢
$1M
Vol
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Global
December 31
12%
Yes
11.8¢
No
88.1¢
June 30
2%
Yes
1.6¢
No
98.5¢
$821K
Vol
Starmer out by..?
Global
December 31
74%
Yes
73.8¢
No
26.3¢
June 30
13%
Yes
13.0¢
No
87.0¢
$783K
Vol
Ipos before 2027?
IPO
99%
Chance
Yes
99.2¢
No
0.8¢
$625K
Vol
Will 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin before May 31' YES holders on Polymarket receive any money before July?
5%
Chance
Yes
5.1¢
No
94.8¢
$532K
Vol
Standx FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Pre-Market
$7b
3%
Yes
2.6¢
No
97.4¢
$10b
1%
Yes
1.3¢
No
98.8¢
$518K
Vol
OKX IPO in 2026?
IPO
10%
Chance
Yes
10.4¢
No
89.6¢
$496K
Vol
What will 长鑫科技 (CXMT) rank in market cap at the end of the IPO date?
IPO
3%
Chance
Yes
2.8¢
No
97.2¢
$298K
Vol
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
Pre-IPO
40%
Chance
Yes
40.0¢
No
60.0¢
$295K
Vol
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
51%
Chance
Yes
51.4¢
No
48.5¢
$274K
Vol
Trump impeached by end of 2026?
Trump
10%
Chance
Yes
9.7¢
No
90.3¢
$271K
Vol
Spacex IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
IPO
82%
Chance
Yes
82.0¢
No
17.9¢
$225K
Vol
Knicks vs. Spurs
NBA • Basketball
33%
Chance
NYK
32.5¢
SAS
67.5¢
$172K
Vol
GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Pre-Market
43%
Chance
Yes
43.0¢
No
57.0¢
$168K
Vol