ID: 38900
Ukraine
World
Geopolitics
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?

WILL RUSSIA CAPTURE ALL OF POKROVSK BY...?

24h Volume$4,615,264.493
Ends2/28/2026
Active Markets
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
YES97.2¢
NO2.8¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
YES98.7¢
NO1.3¢
Event Protocol
Telemetry
LIQUIDITYOPTIMAL
CLUSTER579452
START8/21/2025
Manifest

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Pokrovsk by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Pokrovsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If the territory of municipality is shade light grey, and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Rih" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures the Pokrovsk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ixAs4fF8n8ccVeL17 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Market News

Price HistoryYes

Last
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Orderbook

IDLE
Yes
BID
ASK
Awaiting depth...
No
BID
ASK
Awaiting depth...

Trade Console

v2.5 // POLY_EXEC
Target PositionYes
Order Type
USDC
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