ID: 151953
Iran
Middle East
World
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

US/ISRAEL STRIKES IRAN BY...?

24h Volume$17,227,955.907
Ends12/31/2026
Active Markets
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
YES8.5¢
NO91.5¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
YES55.5¢
NO44.5¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
YES73.5¢
NO26.5¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 8, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 16, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 18, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 20, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 22, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 24, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 26, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 28, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 30, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 17, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 19, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 21, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 23, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 25, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 27, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 29, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
YES66.5¢
NO33.5¢
Event Protocol
Telemetry
LIQUIDITYOPTIMAL
CLUSTER1198479
START1/8/2026
Manifest

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US or Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market News

Price HistoryYes

Last
Change

Orderbook

IDLE
Yes
BID
ASK
Awaiting depth...
No
BID
ASK
Awaiting depth...

Trade Console

v2.5 // POLY_EXEC
Target PositionYes
Order Type
USDC
Est. Shares117.65
Est. Return$117.65
Potential ROI1076.5%
SECURE_CONNECTION
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