ID: 114242
Geopolitics
Politics
Middle East
US strikes Iran by...?

US STRIKES IRAN BY...?

24h Volume$430,976,646.465
Ends6/30/2026
Active Markets
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2025?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
YES54.5¢
NO45.5¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
YES64.5¢
NO35.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
YES8.5¢
NO91.5¢
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
YES40.0¢
NO60.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
YES0.0¢
NO100.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
YES1.5¢
NO98.6¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
YES4.5¢
NO95.5¢
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
YES70.5¢
NO29.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
YES29.5¢
NO70.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
YES30.5¢
NO69.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?
YES33.5¢
NO66.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?
YES34.5¢
NO65.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
YES36.0¢
NO64.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
YES42.0¢
NO58.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
YES36.5¢
NO63.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
YES37.5¢
NO62.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
YES24.5¢
NO75.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
YES12.5¢
NO87.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
YES14.5¢
NO85.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
YES17.5¢
NO82.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
YES22.5¢
NO77.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
YES21.5¢
NO78.5¢
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
YES27.5¢
NO72.5¢
Event Protocol
Telemetry
LIQUIDITYOPTIMAL
CLUSTER1294628
START12/22/2025
Manifest

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market News

Price HistoryYes

Last
Change

Orderbook

IDLE
Yes
BID
ASK
Awaiting depth...
No
BID
ASK
Awaiting depth...

Trade Console

v2.5 // POLY_EXEC
Target PositionYes
Order Type
USDC
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Potential ROI
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